The 2013 MLB Draft is tomorrow and the top Mets pick speculation is heating up. I recently allotted the mock drafts, compiling the lists where the likely Mets picks would be. Mock Drafts have had players fall and rise since then. Players such as Braden Shipley and Colin Moran rise to consensus top-10 picks, while Meadows has fallen in recent drafts. Therefore, Satish and I speculated these five players are most likely to be drafted by the Mets with their 11^th overall selection:

Austin Meadows, OF, Grayson HS (GA), 6′ 3″, 200 lbs, B/T L/L

If he somehow falls to the Mets, it will be a miracle. At the beginning of last year, most people speculated he would at least be #2 overall in this draft, but multiple draft stocks have risen as of late, and Meadows might be squeezed to #11. However, don’t be surprised, if Toronto breaks our hearts. I wrote his consensus scouting report two months ago about Meadows in my High School outfield bat outlook:

Meadows has five tool potential in hitting, power, speed, arm and fielding, which are all at least average. He is seen as one of the top high school outfielders in the draft, if not the top. He is supposed to be a true center fielder, with plus speed, a plus arm, as well as fantastic bat speed that could play anywhere. Combined with above-average to plus hitting, Meadows also projects to possibly have plus power. He is committed to Clemson.

Dominic Smith, 1B/OF, Sierra HS (CA), 6’0″, 195lbs, B/T L/L

Smith has been on the radar a ton, cracking Keith Law’s list as well as others as a likely Mets pick. He’s a good, pure hitting first baseman, but I feel he is a reach at #11, especially with the consensus being he is a first baseman out of high school. Continuing my trend of players I have written scouting reports for, here is one about Dominic Smith:

This Californian could possibly be one of the best hitters in the 2013 draft class. Smith projects more as a first baseman than an outfielder, due to his speed, but could play in a corner outfield position. He has above average contact hitting and above average power. He has above average arm strength, which leads to throwing up to 92 miles per hour on the mound. He is committed to University of Southern California.

Hunter Renfroe, OF, Mississippi State, Jr, 6’1”, 210 lbs, B/T R/R

First of all, this:

You want a ball gone? You want it gone in a hurry? Come on down to Hunter Renfroe’s ball shipping company. You will see Mr. Renfroe sail these out in a hurry, especially if he’s sent to Coney. This guy has some of the top power in the draft, with a whopping 70 on the 20-80 scale (consensus by scouts). He is no reach, and is expected to go within the top-20 picks for sure. Here’s my scouting report from the college bat overview on April 22^nd:

Hunter Renfroe is an intriguing bat to say the least. As of April 21st, Renfroe has hit .407 with 13 home runs for Mississippi State, and has improved considerably from the raw player he started out as entering college. He has at least above-average raw power, but there is concern about some swing-and-miss to his game. He’s an above-average runner, with a plus arm, and could fit very well in right field.

Ryne Stanek, RHP, University of Arkansas, Jr., 6’4″, 180 lbs, B/T R/R

Not like the Mets need anymore right handed pitchers in their system, right? Wrong. No team can stop stocking up on power arms, and it would be wise to continue to stock up, despite the dearth of position players in this year’s draft. According to Baseball America, this is his scouting report:

His fastball ranges from 92-98 mph, with long levers and twitchy athleticism that help him generate arm speed. His slider has real power in the 84-87 mph range when it’s right, and he has improved the feel for his changeup. Stanek doesn’t have the prettiest mechanics as he has adjusted to try to throw more strikes, shortening his stride to help him stay on top of the ball. A tweak here or there could unlock Stanek’s frontline potential, but other scouts see him as a future closer or set-up man in the Daniel Bard mold.

Reese McGuire, C, Kentwood HS (WA), 6’1″, 190 lbs, B/T, L/R

Considered the top catcher in a very deep high school catching draft class this year. He has immense leadership material on and off the field, possibly replacing Wright as the captain if he made it. He isn’t a reach at all for the teams, and I’ve actually warmed up to the idea of another catching prospect. You can never have too many. Below is his scouting report courtesy of Baseball America:

McGuire showed his athletic versatility with Team USA, playing third base and outfield, but he’s best as a catcher in pro ball. He is a natural behind the plate. He remains loose, even after adding strength to his 6-foot-1, 190-pound build. His receiving, blocking and arm strength are all above-average, and he has been calling his own games since he was 10 years old. He has a high baseball IQ and game awareness. The question will be how much McGuire will hit. He has a smooth lefthanded swing with strength and bat speed and shows the tools to be an above-average pure hitter with average power. Even if he doesn’t reach his offensive ceiling, McGuire’s defense will allow him to be a big league backup, but if he hits he has all-star potential.