Last night Brian Kenny (@MrBrianKenny), formerly of ESPN and currently at MLB Network tweeted out his rules for fixing the Mets. Aside from being a fan of his, I found these rules to be interesting and agreed with most, if not all of them. So I decided I’d pass them along to you guys with some thoughts of my own.
Rule #1 to rebuild Mets. No league average free agents. That includes pitchers..
— Brian Kenny (@MrBrianKenny) December 1, 2013
I couldn’t agree with this more. I know there’s been a lot of talk about signing a couple of veteran pitchers to “bridge the gap” until Matt Harvey gets back and guys like Noah Syndergaard and Rafael Montero arrive. That would be a foolish move and a poor allocation of funds. If the Mets want to go out and sign one potentially difference making pitcher like Matt Garza or Masahiro Tanaka — then that’s great. You can never have enough good pitching. However, signing a guy like Bronson Arroyo to a three year deal reeks of desperation. Desperation to win enough games to keep fannies in the seats but not truly contend. There’s plenty of pitchers like Jacob deGrom, Erik Goeddel and Cory Mazzoni who could be given a look in the rotation to see what we have. Any Mets fan looking to be realistic has to know that 2014 isn’t about contending– not seriously anyway. Which brings me to rule #2….
Rule #2 in fixing Mets: 2014, is gone..
— Brian Kenny (@MrBrianKenny) December 1, 2013
Like I just said, 2014 isn’t going to be the year we compete. I know that the Wilpons and Sandy Alderson pointed to 2014 as the year to look forward to and many of you are up in arms. The sad truth is that Matt Harvey’s injury pushed the entire timeline back a bit. The smartest thing for the front office to do at this point is to try to find ways to improve the team without compromising future offseasons. Because while I know many of you want to see Alderson go out there and sign a big name, there isn’t a name big enough to make this team a winner. Maybe next season the market changes and teams aren’t handing out the absurd contracts we see going around this year. Maybe that’s when we make our big splash. When Harvey is back. Wheeler has a full season in the majors under his belt. Syndergaard and Montero have gotten a taste of the majors. Maybe then we make the signing or trade that we need because we didn’t overreact or overpay this winter.
Rule #3 for fixing the Mets: Be in talks w/ every buy-low situational reliever out there.
— Brian Kenny (@MrBrianKenny) December 1, 2013
While I don’t think this rule is vital, I understand where Mr. Kenny is coming from. Obviously the bullpen was a problem for the Mets last season. Clearly that can’t continue. But more than that, relievers make for great trade chips come July. If you can buy low on a few guys and they have bounceback or breakout year you can really turn those guys into solid prospects. It’s a great way for a team stockpile organizational depth.
Rule #4 for fixing the Mets: You can’t afford many full players. Buy Half players.
— Brian Kenny (@MrBrianKenny) December 1, 2013
This may be my favorite rule. I’ve long been a supporter of the belief that if you don’t have/can’t sign star players you can almost create one by using a platoon. There are plenty of players out there who are adept at doing just one or two things well. However, their flaws tend to make teams see them in a negative light. The key is to find players who complement one another. An example would be a guy like Jeff Baker pairing up with Ike Davis to form a first base platoon. Davis’ struggles against lefties are well documented. Baker is a career .298 hitter vs LHP and hit .313/.407/.667 against them last season. Neither player is a stud, but combined they could give you the production of a well above-average first basemen.
Rule #5 for fixing the Mets: David Wright ain’t going Nowhere.. — Brian Kenny (@MrBrianKenny) December 1, 2013
I think this one is pretty self-explanatory. Wright is our best player and the face of this franchise. If we ever want to lure a free agent here, Wright is going to be the guy to help do so. He does everything the organization has asked of him both on and off the field. Injuries have plagued him in the past few years but since 2005 only Albert Pujols, Miguel Cabrera and Chase Utley can top Wright’s 47.8 WAR.
Rule #6 for fixing the Mets: Lagares also stays.. — Brian Kenny (@MrBrianKenny) December 1, 2013
This one caught me by surprise. I’m glad to see someone in Kenny’s position and with his knowledge of the game go out of his way to support Lagares. There seems to be a split amongst Mets fan when it comes to our young centerfielder. Many don’t think he provides enough offense to justify a starting spot. However, center field is such an important defensive position that I think you can live with a lack of offensive production. Lagares is already one of the better centerfielders in baseball no matter what your statistical preference is. Plus I’m not sold that he won’t hit. Will he be a star? No, but I think he can hit .250, draw a few more walks and I see more power in that frame.
Rule 7 to fixing the Mets: Don’t waste organizational strikeouts in minor leagues. — Brian Kenny (@MrBrianKenny) December 1, 2013
Everyone knows that the best way to get an out is to not allow the hitter to put the ball in play. Well, the Mets have a lot of pitchers in their system who strike out batters at a high rate — especially in the bullpen. We also know that pitchers only have so many bullets in their arms. So I believe Kenny is wondering why guys like Jack Leathersich, Jeff Walters, Goeddel and others remained in the minors this year while the bullpen struggled at the major league level. I’d have to agree with him.
Rule #8 for fixing Mets: If you can’t fix Ike, someone (Rays) will pay nicely to try. Meantime, righties only.
— Brian Kenny (@MrBrianKenny) December 1, 2013
This ties in with rule #4 and also the example I brought up using Ike. If you’re forced to work under a budget, as it’s now become clear the Mets are, platoons are the best way to go about it. However if another team wants to “pay nicely” for the chance to fix Ike that’s fine also. Rule #4 should also apply to Lucas Duda if he’s going to be the one to stick around.
Rule 9 for fixing Mets: Shin-Soo Choo. Just pay it..
— Brian Kenny (@MrBrianKenny) December 1, 2013
This is the one rule I am firmly against. In a previous rule Kenny mentions “half players”, a.k.a platoon players. I don’t understand why you’d want to pay $20MM+ annually for one. I think my dislike for the idea of signing Choo is well documented. If not, click here.
Rule #10 for fixing the Mets: Duda & Satin aren't the problem, they're the solution.
— Brian Kenny (@MrBrianKenny) December 1, 2013
I don’t necessarily think either of those players are part of the problem, but I’m not completely sold on them being part of the solution. If we’re going to platoon at firstbase I’m partial to giving Ike a shot at the righty side of the platoon. Also if you’re telling me Josh Satin is the only option versus lefties then I’ll take it, but I like the Baker/Davis platoon that I mentioned earlier simply because Baker provides power. As for Lucas Duda, I’ve heard that there’s just as much interest in him as Ike. If that’s the case I’d prefer to trade Duda because Davis has more upside. However I could be swayed if we’re being offered a better return for Ike.
Overall I think Mr. Kenny touched on a lot of important topics regarding the Mets and their future. If they’re to build a consistent contender they need to formulate a plan or set of rules and stick to it. They’re not as far off as you think. There’s plenty of teams in the league that would love to have our starting pitching. Or a star thirdbasemen who says all the right things. Or a centerfielder who makes the difficult look routine. The key is to decide what mix of players we want to put around them and how to go about it. There are times to spend, and there are times when being patient or frugal is the best play. We can’t let some promise we were made a couple years ago cloud our judgement. Otherwise we end up overspending to put a bandaid over a bullet hole.
Great breakdown Kirk.
I’ve always liked Choo but before the off-season hit I was against bringing him in because I knew the contract would be crazy. Now that we know every contract is crazy it may be more of a deal as silly as that sounds. I think where Kenny is going is you at least need more foundation so there is less holes in 2015.
Even if Harvey was healthy going into this off season the Mets still need 2 corner outfielders, SS, 1st, plus half a bullpen. Getting a solid player like Choo for multiple years closes that hole up and makes the road to contention easier. If a guy like Chris Young does perform (I don’t think he will) he still will have to be resigned next year it will be more than this years 7.5 and won’t be worth it. So whether he does well or not that hole he closed up will re-appear again.
20m is cray cray for Choo but the team is back to that time where they had to overpay for Pedro and Beltran just to lure others. Now that everyone is being overpaid for the pain that contract may be less. I probably still wouldn’t do it and plus I don’t think the Wilpon’s have the ability to anyway.
You’re right, that’s exactly where Kenny was going with Choo. And I want to agree, I really do. I know the Mets need another foundation piece and if you squint and look at Choo’s stats they’re awesome. It’s when you dig into them that I get discouraged.
And you’re right, no matter what me, you or Kenny think the Wilpons aren’t going to sign him anyway.