33. Allan Dykstra, 1B
DOB: 5/21/87 (Age: 26)
Hit: 45/45 Power: 45/55 Arm: 40/40 Field: 50/50 Speed: 35/35
It is a tough task to write up Allan Dykstra — I like him and I do not like him at the same time. It sounds childish, I am aware, but I will try to explain. Dykstra was drafted in 2008, the same as our friend Ike Davis, and had the tools to become a solid first baseman. Offensively, he walked… a lot — which meant Paul DePodesta was immediately interested and used his ’11 first rounder on Dykstra. Fast forward to today, and Dykstra ended up in the Mets organization after being traded for Eddie Kunz. He enjoyed his best year after some coaching in Binghamton, batting .274/.436/.503 in 489 plate appearances with 21 home runs and 82 RBI. He walked 102 times, but struck out 123.
So what is the real deal with this guy? He has a great eye at the plate — that has not changed — but he is victimized by the length of his swing. This also leads to a seriously unhealthy amount of strikeouts, including 100-strikeout seasons in each of the four of them where he has had over 400 plate appearances. In addition, although he always had enough raw power to hit about 20 home runs in the MLB, he struggles to tap into it — and banging out 21 in Double-A Binghamton is nice, but he’s still yet to even touch Triple-A in what will be his age-27 season.
Outlook: At this point, it’s almost safe to call Dykstra a non-prospect, but he got a little extra rope. The reason being is that the Mets are dreadfully shallow at first base, and Dykstra will be making the move to Triple-A Las Vegas for 2014. That means he might see a chance to play with the MLB team sooner rather than later — and honestly, weirder things have happened in baseball than a late bloomer after a change of scenery. Dykstra has a lot working against him, however, and his strikeout rate is probably the biggest issue. If he can stop striking out at such a high clip and perhaps put the ball in play more, he might be able to sustain a .260 average in the majors with 15 home runs or so, but I am not sure if I would count on it.
MMN Top 40 Prospects
(Photo Credit: Gordon Donovan)